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Maths Question 9 – JEE-MAIN 2025

Given three indentical bags each containing 10 balls, whose colours are as follows : RedBlueGreenBag I325Bag II433Bag III514 A person chooses a bag at random and takes out a ball. If the ball is Red, the probability that it is from bag I is p and if the ball is Green, the probability that it is from bag III is q, then the value of (1p+1q) is :

This problem involves conditional probability, where the probability of an event (choosing a specific bag) is calculated given that another event (drawing a specific color ball) has already occurred.

Step 1: Calculate Total Probabilities of Drawing Red and Green Balls✦ Active

Let B1,B2,B3 be the events of choosing Bag I, Bag II, and Bag III respectively. Since a bag is chosen at random, P(B1)=P(B2)=P(B3)=13. Each bag contains 10 balls. Let R be the event of drawing a Red ball and G be the event of drawing a Green ball.

P(R|B1)=310,P(R|B2)=410,P(R|B3)=510 P(G|B1)=510,P(G|B2)=310,P(G|B3)=410 P(R)=P(R|B1)P(B1)+P(R|B2)P(B2)+P(R|B3)P(B3) P(R)=(310)(13)+(410)(13)+(510)(13)=130(3+4+5)=1230=25 P(G)=P(G|B1)P(B1)+P(G|B2)P(B2)+P(G|B3)P(B3) P(G)=(510)(13)+(310)(13)+(410)(13)=130(5+3+4)=1230=25
Step 2: Calculate Probabilities p and q using Bayes' Theorem○ Expand

The probability p is P(B1|R), and the probability q is P(B3|G). Using Bayes' Theorem:

p=P(B1|R)=P(R|B1)P(B1)P(R)=(310)(13)25=33025=110×52=520=14 q=P(B3|G)=P(G|B3)P(B3)P(G)=(410)(13)25=43025=215×52=1030=13
💡 Teacher's Secret Hint

Ensure to use the correct conditional probabilities from the table for each specific bag and ball color.

Step 3: Calculate the Final Expression○ Expand

Now, substitute the values of p and q into the expression (1p+1q):

1p=114=4 1q=113=3 1p+1q=4+3=7
💡 Teacher's Secret Hint

Double-check the arithmetic for the reciprocals and the final sum.

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